I am Lucas Böttcher. Below you can find some information about me and my research.


Current and Past Positions
Education (courses)


  1. L. Böttcher, M. R. D'Orsogna, T. Chou, Quantifying uncertainty in COVID-19 testing statistics, preprint
  2. L. Böttcher, J. Nagler, Critical Conditions for Strategic Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2, preprint
  3. L. Böttcher, G. Kernell, How variations in group size and abstention rates impact hierarchical and direct voting systems, preprint
  4. N. Antulov-Fantulin, N. Biller-Andorno, L. Böttcher, J. Berezowski, C. Burton-Jeangros, K. Blanchet, M. Clausin, G. Escher, A. Flahault, K. Fukuda, D. Helbing, P. D. Jaffé, P. Jørgensen, Y. Kaspiarovich, J. Krishnakumar, R. Lawrence, K. Lee, A. Léger, N. Levrat, R. Martischang, C. Morel, D. Pittet, M. Stauffer, F. Tediosi, F. Vanackere, J.-D. Vassalli, D. Wernli, G. Wolff, O. Young, Building societal resilience to COVID-19 and future pandemics: a synthesis of the literature and a governance framework for action (2021), preprint
  5. L. Böttcher, M. R. D'Orsogna, T. Chou, Using excess deaths and testing statistics to improve estimates of COVID-19 mortalities, medRxiv:2021.01.10.21249524, arXiv:2101.03467
  6. L. Böttcher, M. A. Porter, Classical and quantum random-walk centrality measures in multilayer networks, arXiv:2012.07157, Gitlab repo
  7. S. Wald, L. Böttcher, From classical to quantum walks with stochastic resetting on networks, Phys. Rev. E 103, 012122 (2021), arXiv:2008.00510, GitHub repo
  8. T. Asikis, L. Böttcher, N. Antulov-Fantulin, Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Control of Dynamics on Graphs, arXiv:2006.09773, GitHub repo
  9. P. Richter, M. Henkel, L. Böttcher, Aging and equilibration in bistable contagion dynamics, Phys. Rev. E. 102, 042308 (2020), arXiv:2006.05937
  10. S.D.S. Reis, L. Böttcher, K.P. da C. Nogueira, G.S. Sousa, A.S. Lima Neto, H.J. Herrmann, J.S. Andrade Jr, Spatio-temporal characteristics of dengue outbreaks, arXiv:2006.02646
  11. L. Böttcher, M. Xia, T. Chou, Why case fatality ratios can be misleading: individual- and population-based mortality estimates and factors influencing them, Phys. Biol. 17, 065003 (2020), arXiv:2003.12032, medRxiv:2020.03.26.20044693
  12. L. Böttcher, N. Antulov-Fantulin, Unifying continuous, discrete, and susceptible-infected-recovered processes on networks, Phys. Rev. Research 2, 033121 (2020), arXiv:2002.11765
  13. L. Böttcher, H. Gersbach, Incentivizing Narrow-Spectrum Antibiotic Development with Refunding, arXiv:2007.06468, medRxiv:2020.07.13.20152652, CEPR:DP15512
  14. F. D'Angelo, L. Böttcher, Learning the Ising Model with Generative Neural Networks, Phys. Rev. Research 2, 023266 (2020), arXiv:2001.05361, GitHub repo
  15. L. Böttcher, A Random-Line-Graph Approach to Overlapping Line Segments, J. Complex Netw. 8, cnaa029 (2020), arXiv:1911.10679
  16. S. Nauer, L. Böttcher, M. A. Porter, Random-Graph Models and Characterization of Granular Networks, J. Complex Netw., cnz037 (2019), arXiv:1907.13424
  17. S. Xu, L. Böttcher, T. Chou, Diversity in Biology: definitions, quantification, and models, Phys. Biol. 17, 031001 (2020), arXiv:1908.08190
  18. L. Böttcher, H. Gersbach, The Great Divide: Quantifying Drivers of Polarization in the US Public, EPJ Data Science 9, 32 (2020), arXiv:2001.05163
  19. L. Böttcher, P. Montealegre, E. Goles, H. Gersbach, Competing Activists--Political Polarization, Physica A 545, 123713 (2019), arXiv:1910.14531
  20. S. Strub, L. Böttcher, Modeling Deformed Transmission Lines for Continuous Strain Sensing Applications, Meas. Sci. Technol. 31, 035109 (2019), arXiv:1912.13319
  21. M. Hoferer, L. Böttcher, H.J. Herrmann, H. Gersbach, The Impact of Technologies in Political Campaigns, Physica A 538, 122795 (2019), arXiv:1909.07644
  22. L. Böttcher, H.J. Herrmann, H. Gersbach, Clout, Activists and Budget: The Road to Presidency, PLoS ONE 13(3):e0193199. (2018), arXiv:1802.02048
  23. L. Böttcher, H.J. Herrmann, M. Henkel, Dynamical universality of the contact process, J. Phys. A 51, 125003 (2018), arXiv:1802.00037
  24. L. Böttcher, J. S. Andrade Jr., H.J. Herrmann, Targeted Recovery as an Effective Strategy against Epidemic Spreading, Sci. Rep. 7, 14356 (2017), arXiv:1710.05807
  25. L. Böttcher, J. Nagler, H.J. Herrmann, Critical Behaviors in Contagion Dynamics, Phys. Rev. Lett. 118, 088301 (2017), arXiv:1701.08988, GitHub repo
  26. L. Böttcher, O. Woolley-Meza, D. Brockmann, Temporal dynamics of online petitions, PLoS ONE 12(5):e0178062. (2017), arXiv:1705.04202
  27. L. Böttcher, M. Lukovic, J. Nagler, S. Havlin, H.J. Herrmann, Failure and recovery in dynamical networks, Sci. Rep. 7, 41729 (2017), arXiv:1610.00997
  28. L. Böttcher, O. Woolley-Meza, E. Goles, D. Helbing, H.J. Herrmann, Connectivity disruption sparks explosive epidemic spreading, Phys. Rev. E 93, 042315 (2016), arXiv:1604.07783
  29. L. Böttcher, N.A.M. Araújo, J. Nagler, J.F.F. Mendes, D. Helbing, H.J. Herrmann, Gender gap in the ERASMUS mobility program, PLoS ONE 11(2):e0149514. (2016), arXiv:1602.01442
  30. L. Böttcher, O. Woolley-Meza, N.A.M. Araújo, H.J. Herrmann, D. Helbing, Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics, Sci. Rep. 5, 16571 (2015), arXiv:1508.05484, ssrn.2496128
  31. R. Mani, L. Böttcher, H.J. Herrmann, D. Helbing, Extreme power law in a driven many-particle system without threshold dynamics, Phys. Rev. E 90, 042201 (2014), arXiv:1404.7460

Books and chapters
  1. L. Böttcher, H.J. Herrmann, Computational Statistical Physics, preprint
  2. L. Böttcher, chapter on Contagion Dynamics in Complex Networks, Automata and Complexity, Essays presented to Eric Goles on the occasion of his 70th birthday, to appear in Emergence, Complexity, and Computation in 2020, preprint
Media coverage and highlights You can find more information about my research and teaching (incl. planned workshops/conferences and job postings) on Twitter and LinkedIn.


Year Courses
2020 Epidemic Forecasting Data Assimilation in Complex Social Systems
2019 Introduction to Computational Physics Computational Statistical Physics Dynamical Processes in Complex Networks
2018 Mathematik III
2017 Numerische Methoden





Lucas Böttcher
lucasb at g dot ucla dot edu